Cavanal Hill Hedged Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

APLIX Fund  USD 13.52  0.06  0.44%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cavanal Hill's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cavanal Hill is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cavanal Hill Hedged are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Cavanal Hill is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Cavanal Hill Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,321  in Cavanal Hill Hedged on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  31.00  from holding Cavanal Hill Hedged or generate 2.35% return on investment over 90 days. Cavanal Hill Hedged is currently producing 0.0407% returns and takes up 0.6366% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Cavanal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cavanal Hill is expected to generate 2.05 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.18 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Cavanal Hill Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
13.52
Please note that Cavanal Hill's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Cavanal Hill Hedged shows a prevailing Real Value of $13.46 per share. The current price of the fund is $13.52. We determine the value of Cavanal Hill Hedged from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Cavanal Hill is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Cavanal Mutual Fund. However, Cavanal Hill's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.52 Real  13.46 Hype  13.52 Naive  13.55
The intrinsic value of Cavanal Hill's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Cavanal Hill's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
13.46
Real Value
14.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Cavanal Hill Hedged helps investors to forecast how Cavanal mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Cavanal Hill more accurately as focusing exclusively on Cavanal Hill's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2413.4213.60
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8813.5214.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.9213.5514.19
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Cavanal Hill Hedged extending back to December 28, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Cavanal Hill stands at 13.52, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 13.52 and the lowest price hitting 13.52 during the day.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Cavanal Hill Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cavanal Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.52 90 days 13.52 
about 12.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cavanal Hill to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.17 (This Cavanal Hill Hedged probability density function shows the probability of Cavanal Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cavanal Hill has a beta of 0.68. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cavanal Hill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cavanal Hill Hedged will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cavanal Hill Hedged has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cavanal Hill Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cavanal Hill

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cavanal Hill Hedged. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8813.5214.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8213.4614.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9213.5514.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2413.4213.60
Details

Cavanal Hill Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cavanal Hill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cavanal Hill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cavanal Hill Hedged, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cavanal Hill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Cavanal Hill Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cavanal Hill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cavanal Hill Hedged can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cavanal Hill Hedged has annual holdings turnover of about 131.0% suggesting active trading
This fund holds 98.71% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Cavanal Hill Fundamentals Growth

Cavanal Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cavanal Hill, and Cavanal Hill fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cavanal Mutual Fund performance.

About Cavanal Hill Performance

Evaluating Cavanal Hill's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Cavanal Hill has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cavanal Hill has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in dividend paying equity securities, with at least 80 percent of its net assets in income generating equity securities and equity-related instruments traded on U.S. exchanges. The advisor includes common stocks and securities convertible into common stocks of companies with any market capitalization and sponsored or unsponsored American Depositary Receipts . The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Cavanal Hill Hedged performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cavanal Hill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Cavanal Hill Hedged help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cavanal Hill Hedged has annual holdings turnover of about 131.0% suggesting active trading
This fund holds 98.71% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Cavanal Hill's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cavanal Hill's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Cavanal Hill's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cavanal Hill's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cavanal Hill's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cavanal Hill's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cavanal Hill's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cavanal Hill's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Cavanal Hill's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cavanal Hill's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cavanal Hill's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Cavanal Mutual Fund

Cavanal Hill financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cavanal Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cavanal with respect to the benefits of owning Cavanal Hill security.
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